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Red132
1034927.0
91069.3
150236.3
Blue138
608144.6
1060640.4
436239.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145148100120140160180132138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+20Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points11
40Total auto20
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#19
56Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
88Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
132Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#21
69.30.4
63.863.4
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
red by 24.6
44.60.6
44.143.5
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
Second
1502
#28
36.30.4
36.435.9
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
blue by 4.2
40.40.6
42.141.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End9.1
Third
27.00.4
29.028.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.3
blue by 12.1
4362
#19
39.00.6
40.239.7
Auto13.1
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned