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Red106
925522.5
353845.4
150647.1
Blue62
999917.2
50336.4
822219.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1276505010015020025010662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
62Total teleop45
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points2
106Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#26
47.10.2
41.941.7
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
red by 10.7
503
#18
36.40.8
32.832.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
Second
3538
#23
45.40.2
44.143.9
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
red by 25.9
8222
#35
19.50.8
19.118.4
Auto2.2
Teleop10.6
End6.7
Third
9255
#34
22.50.2
23.323.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.5
red by 5.2
9999
#29Sur
17.21.3
19.818.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed