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Red135
361828.3
552723.2
924585.6
Blue85
132217.1
998013.1
612041.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1307705010015020013585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+36Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
15Coral points27
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
100Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
135Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.60.7
76.276.9
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 44.0
41.60.2
37.938.1
Auto9.7
Teleop24.6
End7.3
Second
3618
#15
28.30.7
23.223.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.5
End2.6
red by 11.2
1322
#31
17.10.2
20.320.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
23.20.7
16.216.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
red by 10.0
9980
#32
13.10.4
14.614.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed