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Red132
436239.0
150236.3
860861.6
Blue154
584358.2
5149.8
495628.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17313350100150200250132154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
93Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
132Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.3
66.765.4
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
red by 3.4
5843
#10
58.22.0
49.651.6
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
Second
4362
#19
39.01.3
41.540.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.6
End1.3
blue by 10.8
51
#5
49.82.0
44.045.9
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1
Third
1502
#28
36.31.3
37.636.4
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
red by 7.9
28.42.0
24.826.8
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned