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Red157
50336.4
6783.0
535257.0
Blue107
168441.0
1034927.0
149854.3
92%Model gave it8%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208139050100250157107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
34Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
18Coral scored#21
63Coral points77
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
24Processor points6
20Net points8
44Algae points14
107Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
157Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
83.01.9
80.578.6
Auto18.2
Teleop56.8
End8.1
red by 28.7
1498
#22
54.31.9
55.553.6
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
Second
5352
#14
57.01.9
59.757.8
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
red by 16.0
1684
#25
41.01.9
37.735.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
Third
503
#18
36.41.9
34.732.8
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
red by 9.5
27.01.9
30.929.0
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed