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Red65
822219.5
89436.7
925522.5
Blue74
12327.2
778423.2
608144.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831130501001502002506574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
40Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
65Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#30
36.70.9
34.033.1
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
blue by 7.9
44.61.7
45.744.1
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
Second
9255
#34
22.50.9
24.223.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.5
blue by 4.8
123
#20
27.21.7
26.124.4
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End1.2
Third
8222
#35
19.50.9
20.019.1
Auto2.2
Teleop10.6
End6.7
blue by 3.6
7784
#27
23.21.7
27.025.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed