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Red133
612041.6
566061.6
364124.8
Blue108
24555.8
91069.3
353845.4
7%Model gave it93%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114202050100150250300133108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
76Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
133Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.1
57.859.0
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
blue by 7.6
910
#21
69.34.4
68.363.8
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
Second
41.61.1
36.837.9
Auto9.7
Teleop24.6
End7.3
blue by 14.2
245
#11
55.84.4
57.753.2
Auto10.7
Teleop38.2
End6.9
Third
3641
#12
24.81.1
21.522.6
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End3.2
blue by 20.7
3538
#23
45.44.4
48.544.1
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed