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Red149
924585.6
1060640.4
721142.9
Blue107
150429.0
150647.1
999917.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18882050100150250300149107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
31Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points37
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
24Processor points12
24Net points24
48Algae points36
102Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
149Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.61.1
77.376.2
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 38.5
1506
#26
47.10.5
41.441.9
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
Second
7211
#16
42.91.1
39.137.9
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End9.0
red by 13.9
1504
#24
29.00.5
33.634.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Third
40.41.1
43.242.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End9.1
red by 23.2
9999
#29
17.20.9
18.919.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed