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Red179
552723.2
566061.6
6783.0
Blue135
5149.8
822219.5
1060640.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18411550100150200250179135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+60Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave0
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points22
44Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +38
20Coral scored#15
71Coral points53
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
115Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#5
11L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +16
20Cage & park36
20Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
179Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
83.00.7
77.077.8
Auto18.2
Teleop56.8
End8.1
red by 33.2
51
#5
49.80.8
45.946.8
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1
Second
61.60.7
59.059.7
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 21.2
40.40.8
41.642.4
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End9.1
Third
23.20.7
16.917.7
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
red by 3.6
8222
#35
19.50.8
18.419.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned