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Red104
364124.8
842621.3
149854.3
Blue98
999917.2
925522.5
584358.2
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9799608012010498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
84Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points4
104Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#22
54.30.8
51.251.9
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
blue by 3.9
5843
#10
58.20.1
51.451.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
Second
3641
#12
24.80.8
22.923.7
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End3.2
red by 2.3
9255
#34
22.50.1
23.123.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Third
8426
#17
21.30.8
18.319.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 4.1
9999
#29
17.20.1
18.518.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed