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Red221
24555.8
924585.6
50336.4
Blue79
495628.4
361828.3
89436.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1977405010015025030022179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+120Teleop
+142Endgame
+142Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
43Coral points14
43Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +97
28Coral scored#8
100Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
142Total teleop45
Reef
17L4#3
9L3#2
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +142
0Foul points0
221Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.63.6
76.980.5
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 48.9
894
#30
36.70.1
30.730.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
Second
245
#11
55.83.6
51.755.3
Auto10.7
Teleop38.2
End6.9
red by 27.5
28.40.1
24.424.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6
Third
503
#18
36.43.6
32.035.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
red by 8.1
3618
#15
28.30.1
25.625.5
Auto5.2
Teleop20.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned