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Red120
436239.0
566061.6
1034927.0
Blue87
150647.1
998013.1
12327.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1487905010020012087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+43Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
36Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
80Total teleop40
Reef
10L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
120Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.7
59.759.0
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 14.5
1506
#26
47.10.4
41.742.0
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
Second
4362
#19
39.00.7
39.738.9
Auto13.1
Teleop24.6
End1.3
red by 11.8
123
#20
27.20.4
26.126.5
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End1.2
Third
27.00.7
28.627.9
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.3
red by 13.8
9980
#32
13.10.6
10.811.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned