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Red112
721142.9
584358.2
150429.0
Blue124
566061.6
924585.6
168441.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13221050100150250300112124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+34
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points37
16Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
70Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
112Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#10
58.21.1
50.749.6
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
blue by 27.4
85.64.3
81.677.3
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
Second
7211
#16
42.91.1
40.239.1
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End9.0
blue by 18.8
61.64.3
62.157.8
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
Third
1504
#24
29.01.1
34.733.6
Auto4.4
Teleop22.1
End2.5
blue by 12.0
1684
#25
41.04.3
42.037.7
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed