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Red116
150647.1
149854.3
860861.6
Blue84
89436.7
778423.2
353845.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2041285010015025030011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+38Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
70Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points6
116Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.64.8
71.566.7
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
red by 16.2
3538
#23
45.43.6
52.248.5
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
Second
1498
#22
54.34.8
60.355.5
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
red by 17.6
894
#30
36.73.6
37.734.0
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
Third
1506
#26
47.14.8
46.241.4
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
red by 24.0
7784
#27
23.23.6
30.627.0
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed