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Red143
6783.0
999917.2
495628.4
Blue96
998013.1
925522.5
91069.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412305010015020025014396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+49Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points18
23Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +50
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points42
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
106Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
143Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
83.01.7
78.980.5
Auto18.2
Teleop56.8
End8.1
red by 13.7
910
#21
69.31.0
69.268.3
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
Second
28.41.7
23.124.8
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6
red by 5.9
9255
#34
22.51.0
25.124.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Third
9999
#29
17.22.8
16.218.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
red by 4.1
9980
#32
13.11.6
16.214.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned