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Red90
91069.3
150429.0
612041.6
Blue78
860861.6
132217.1
778423.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154123501002009078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
37Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
90Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#21
69.33.3
63.460.1
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
red by 7.7
61.62.3
63.060.7
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
Second
41.63.3
38.134.9
Auto9.7
Teleop24.6
End7.3
red by 18.5
7784
#27
23.22.3
25.122.8
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Third
1504
#24
29.03.3
34.531.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 11.9
1322
#31
17.12.3
19.016.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned