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Red122
150236.3
150647.1
822219.5
Blue183
364124.8
924585.6
535257.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97178050150200250300122183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+69
Endgame+59
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
4Coral scored#8
19Coral points40
19Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +45
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#7
12Processor points18
4Net points28
16Algae points46
67Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points2
122Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#26
47.11.7
42.043.7
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
blue by 38.5
85.61.4
80.582.0
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
Second
1502
#28
36.31.7
35.937.6
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
blue by 20.7
5352
#14
57.01.4
55.456.8
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
Third
8222
#35
19.51.7
19.220.8
Auto2.2
Teleop10.6
End6.7
blue by 5.2
3641
#12
24.81.4
23.725.1
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned