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Red156
842621.3
608144.6
566061.6
Blue142
149854.3
495628.4
552723.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14097050200250156142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points70
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
30Processor points18
20Net points12
50Algae points30
103Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points8
156Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.4
59.060.3
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 7.3
1498
#22
54.31.7
51.953.7
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
Second
44.61.4
43.544.9
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
red by 16.3
28.41.7
24.326.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6
Third
8426
#17
21.31.4
19.020.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
blue by 1.8
23.21.7
17.719.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned