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Red99
168441.0
50336.4
998013.1
Blue112
778423.2
436239.0
24555.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9514405020025099112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
63Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
99Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#25
41.00.8
34.235.0
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
blue by 14.9
245
#11
55.80.9
55.354.4
Auto10.7
Teleop38.2
End6.9
Second
503
#18
36.40.8
35.636.5
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
blue by 2.6
4362
#19
39.00.9
38.938.1
Auto13.1
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Third
9980
#32
13.11.4
11.512.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 10.0
7784
#27
23.20.9
22.821.9
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned