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Red98
999917.2
612041.6
353845.4
Blue123
584358.2
535257.0
12327.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8915605020025098123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
62Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#8
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
98Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#23
45.40.4
41.941.6
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
blue by 12.8
5843
#10
58.21.4
51.550.1
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
Second
41.60.4
34.934.5
Auto9.7
Teleop24.6
End7.3
blue by 15.3
5352
#14
57.01.4
56.855.4
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
Third
9999
#29
17.20.6
18.618.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
blue by 10.0
123
#20
27.21.4
26.525.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned