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Qual 292025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 3)
Red86
89436.7
721142.9
132217.1
Blue156
6783.0
150236.3
1060640.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8519505010015025086156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+78
Endgame+58
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +75
9Coral scored#21
31Coral points74
0Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
0Processor points24
8Net points16
8Algae points40
39Total teleop114
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points12
86Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#16
42.90.3
37.6→37.4
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End9.0
blue by 40.1
67
#1
83.01.3
77.8→76.4
Auto18.2
Teleop56.8
End8.1
Second
894
#30
36.70.3
30.6→30.3
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
blue by 3.7
10606
#13
40.41.3
42.4→41.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End9.1
Third
1322
#31
17.10.3
16.6→16.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 19.2
1502
#28
36.31.3
37.6→36.3
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsMissed