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Red163
91069.3
5149.8
168441.0
Blue114
150647.1
361828.3
842621.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17287050100150200250163114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +34
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
97Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
163Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#21
69.31.3
60.161.5
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
red by 22.2
1506
#26
47.11.6
43.745.3
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
Second
51
#5
49.81.3
47.649.0
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1
red by 21.5
3618
#15
28.31.6
26.327.8
Auto5.2
Teleop20.5
End2.6
Third
1684
#25
41.01.3
35.036.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
red by 19.7
8426
#17
21.31.6
20.422.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned