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Red139
924585.6
608144.6
999917.2
Blue156
860861.6
50336.4
566061.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147180050100200250300350139156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+5Teleop
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave0
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points44
36Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +13
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
99Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#14
7L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
139Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.60.4
82.081.6
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 24.0
61.60.2
60.360.2
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
Second
44.60.4
44.944.5
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
blue by 17.0
61.60.2
61.561.3
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
Third
9999
#29
17.20.7
18.017.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
blue by 19.2
503
#18
36.40.2
36.536.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned