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Red137
535257.0
552723.2
925522.5
Blue223
584358.2
89436.7
91069.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10217050150200250137223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+58
Endgame+86
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +44
14Coral scored#25
49Coral points91
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#10
30Processor points12
20Net points40
50Algae points52
99Total teleop143
Reef
7L4#13
4L3#10
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +28
8Cage & park36
8Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points0
137Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#14
57.01.5
55.456.9
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
blue by 12.3
910
#21
69.34.2
61.565.7
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
Second
23.21.5
19.420.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9
blue by 35.1
5843
#10
58.24.2
50.154.3
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
Third
9255
#34
22.51.5
21.923.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.5
blue by 14.2
894
#30
36.74.2
30.334.5
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned