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Red102
132217.1
822219.5
149854.3
Blue109
721142.9
998013.1
436239.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110260708090110120130102109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points37
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +13
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
66Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
14Foul points2
102Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#22
54.30.2
53.753.5
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
red by 11.5
7211
#16
42.91.2
37.438.6
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End9.0
Second
8222
#35
19.50.2
20.820.6
Auto2.2
Teleop10.6
End6.7
blue by 19.5
4362
#19
39.01.2
38.139.3
Auto13.1
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Third
1322
#31
17.10.2
16.416.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End3.0
red by 4.0
9980
#32
13.12.1
12.914.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned