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Red102
361828.3
168441.0
778423.2
Blue113
566061.6
999917.2
150236.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91127050150200102113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
78Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
102Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#25
41.00.5
36.336.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
blue by 20.7
61.60.4
60.259.8
Auto18.1
Teleop36.3
End7.3
Second
3618
#15
28.30.5
27.828.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.5
End2.6
blue by 7.9
1502
#28
36.30.4
36.035.6
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
Third
7784
#27
23.20.5
22.723.2
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End2.9
red by 5.9
9999
#29
17.20.6
17.316.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned