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Red227
612041.6
6783.0
584358.2
Blue118
50336.4
608144.6
150647.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19513250100150250300227118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+89Teleop
+109Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +82
28Coral scored#13
101Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
18Processor points12
28Net points8
46Algae points20
147Total teleop65
Reef
13L4#9
9L3#5
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
0Foul points0
227Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
83.03.2
78.081.2
Auto18.2
Teleop56.8
End8.1
red by 35.9
1506
#26
47.11.3
45.344.0
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
Second
5843
#10
58.23.2
54.357.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
red by 13.6
44.61.3
44.543.2
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
Third
41.63.2
35.338.5
Auto9.7
Teleop24.6
End7.3
red by 5.2
503
#18
36.41.3
36.335.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned