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Red131
91069.3
12327.2
1060640.4
Blue200
5149.8
149854.3
924585.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14220950100250300131200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+69
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points26
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +48
17Coral scored#25
61Coral points89
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#8
12Processor points12
12Net points32
24Algae points44
85Total teleop133
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#11
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points12
131Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#21
69.30.6
65.765.1
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
blue by 16.3
85.60.1
81.681.5
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
Second
40.40.6
41.040.4
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End9.1
blue by 13.9
1498
#22
54.30.1
53.553.4
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
Third
123
#20
27.20.6
26.626.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End1.2
blue by 22.6
51
#5
49.80.1
49.048.9
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned