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Red76
998013.1
535257.0
822219.5
Blue121
842621.3
860861.6
150429.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9913205015020025076121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+45
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
42Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points18
76Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#14
57.01.1
56.955.8
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
blue by 4.6
61.60.7
61.360.7
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
Second
8222
#35
19.51.1
20.619.5
Auto2.2
Teleop10.6
End6.7
blue by 9.4
1504
#24
29.00.7
29.629.0
Auto4.4
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Third
9980
#32
13.11.8
14.913.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 8.2
8426
#17
21.30.7
22.021.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned