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Red106
353845.4
132217.1
495628.4
Blue92
999917.2
1034927.0
89436.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968105015020010692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
52Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
106Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#23
45.40.9
43.144.0
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
red by 8.7
894
#30
36.70.3
34.534.9
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End8.0
Second
28.40.9
26.727.7
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6
red by 1.4
27.00.3
26.627.0
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.3
Third
1322
#31
17.10.9
16.217.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 0.1
9999
#29
17.20.5
16.717.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned