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Red205
860861.6
149854.3
5149.8
Blue156
150647.1
721142.9
612041.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18613350100150200250205156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
6Leave3
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points19
51Total auto22
Teleoperatedlevel
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points70
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
24Processor points24
16Net points24
40Algae points48
118Total teleop118
Reef
13L4#7
7L3#7
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
205Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.9
60.761.6
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
red by 14.5
1506
#26
47.10.6
46.647.1
Auto16.9
Teleop23.2
End7.0
Second
1498
#22
54.30.9
53.454.3
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
red by 11.5
7211
#16
42.90.6
42.342.9
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End9.0
Third
51
#5
49.80.9
48.949.8
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1
red by 8.2
41.60.6
41.041.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.6
End7.3