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Red233
168441.0
91069.3
924585.6
Blue166
860861.6
149854.3
5149.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205177150250233166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points41
50Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +43
28Coral scored#19
99Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
24Processor points18
28Net points20
52Algae points38
151Total teleop108
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#7
8L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +67
6Foul points0
233Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.60.9
83.184.0
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 24.0
61.60.0
61.661.6
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
Second
910
#21
69.30.9
66.867.7
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
red by 15.0
1498
#22
54.30.0
54.354.3
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
Third
1684
#25
41.00.9
38.539.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
blue by 8.9
51
#5
49.80.0
49.849.8
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1