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Red235
168441.0
91069.3
924585.6
Blue151
608144.6
50336.4
353845.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21112550100150250300235151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+64Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points41
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +68
29Coral scored#19
105Coral points69
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
30Processor points6
24Net points16
54Algae points22
159Total teleop91
Reef
16L4#10
7L3#8
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
235Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.61.1
81.582.6
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 40.2
3538
#23
45.40.6
44.044.6
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
Second
910
#21
69.31.1
65.166.2
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
red by 24.6
44.60.6
43.243.8
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
Third
1684
#25
41.01.1
36.837.9
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
red by 4.5
503
#18
36.40.6
35.035.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7