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Red154
150236.3
495628.4
584358.2
Blue142
535257.0
12327.2
552723.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311650100200250154142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points49
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
12Processor points24
24Net points20
36Algae points44
97Total teleop93
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#8
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points2
154Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#10
58.20.4
57.557.9
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
red by 1.3
5352
#14
57.00.5
55.856.4
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
Second
1502
#28
36.30.4
35.636.0
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
red by 9.0
123
#20
27.20.5
26.126.6
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End1.2
Third
28.40.4
27.728.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6
red by 5.2
23.20.5
22.022.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9