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Red118
24555.8
364124.8
436239.0
Blue144
860861.6
149854.3
5149.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12218850100150200250118144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
79Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points12
118Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#11
55.80.0
55.955.8
Auto10.7
Teleop38.2
End6.9
blue by 5.8
61.60.7
60.860.1
Auto17.6
Teleop34.3
End9.7
Second
4362
#19
39.00.0
39.139.0
Auto13.1
Teleop24.6
End1.3
blue by 15.3
1498
#22
54.30.7
53.552.8
Auto10.7
Teleop38.0
End5.5
Third
3641
#12
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End3.2
blue by 25.1
51
#5
49.80.7
49.048.3
Auto9.2
Teleop29.6
End11.1