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Red150
608144.6
50336.4
353845.4
Blue145
535257.0
12327.2
552723.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511750100200250150145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+3
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
37Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +11
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
89Total teleop100
Reef
11L4#10
5L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
150Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#23
45.40.3
44.644.9
Auto14.6
Teleop28.8
End2.0
blue by 11.5
5352
#14
57.00.6
56.457.0
Auto18.0
Teleop31.5
End7.5
Second
44.60.3
43.844.2
Auto6.9
Teleop32.0
End5.8
red by 17.4
123
#20
27.20.6
26.627.2
Auto6.6
Teleop19.4
End1.2
Third
503
#18
36.40.3
35.635.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.9
End8.7
red by 13.3
23.20.6
22.523.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End2.9