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Red236
168441.0
91069.3
924585.6
Blue123
150236.3
495628.4
584358.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21412650100150200250300236123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+85Teleop
+107Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave0
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points38
47Total auto38
TeleoperatedRed +76
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points47
7Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
42Processor points12
28Net points12
70Algae points24
147Total teleop71
Reef
12L4#9
5L3#6
8L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +113
6Foul points0
236Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.61.0
82.683.5
Auto17.1
Teleop59.0
End9.6
red by 27.4
5843
#10
58.20.0
57.958.0
Auto12.6
Teleop37.0
End8.6
Second
910
#21
69.31.0
66.267.2
Auto19.1
Teleop38.9
End11.3
red by 33.0
1502
#28
36.30.0
36.036.0
Auto7.9
Teleop25.1
End3.3
Third
1684
#25
41.01.0
37.938.9
Auto4.6
Teleop30.4
End5.9
red by 12.6
28.40.0
28.128.1
Auto5.9
Teleop17.8
End4.6