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Red243
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue215
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292243150200350243215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points39
44Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +10
35Coral scored#30
125Coral points109
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#3
12Processor points30
24Net points12
36Algae points42
161Total teleop151
Reef
19L4#15
10L3#7
7L2#10
7L1 · trough#6
51Game pieces#46
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +28
12Foul points0
243Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.5
85.685.0
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
blue by 5.8
90.50.2
91.791.5
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
84.70.5
85.584.9
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
blue by 3.5
88.10.2
89.489.2
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
33
#1
83.50.5
84.383.8
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 41.5
42.00.2
43.243.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3