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Red281
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue204
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251168100150200300281204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+79Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
10Coral scored#6
49Coral points30
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +51
31Coral scored#34
113Coral points122
5Processor algae#1
14Net algae#5
30Processor points6
56Net points20
86Algae points26
199Total teleop148
Reef
16L4#18
7L3#8
10L2#8
8L1 · trough#6
60Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
281Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.9
90.891.6
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 27.0
63.50.6
62.963.5
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
88.10.9
88.489.3
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 33.5
54.60.6
54.154.6
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
42.00.9
42.343.1
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
blue by 1.3
573
#6
43.30.6
42.743.3
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7