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Red288
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
Blue235
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300251150200350288235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
9Coral scored#9
45Coral points44
54Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +26
37Coral scored#33
134Coral points118
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#9
24Processor points18
40Net points36
64Algae points54
198Total teleop172
Reef
13L4#18
15L3#9
12L2#11
6L1 · trough#4
60Game pieces#54
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
288Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.30.1
92.092.1
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
blue by 0.2
90.50.3
91.691.4
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
83.20.1
84.885.0
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
blue by 5.0
88.10.3
89.389.0
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
76.80.1
78.478.6
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
red by 34.8
42.00.3
43.142.8
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3