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Red264
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue181
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249168100150200300264181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+65Teleop
+85Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points24
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +37
34Coral scored#20
122Coral points73
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#9
24Processor points24
24Net points36
48Algae points60
170Total teleop133
Reef
16L4#6
13L3#9
6L2#7
9L1 · trough#3
54Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points2
264Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.9
89.990.8
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 27.0
63.50.3
62.662.9
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
88.10.9
87.588.4
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 33.5
54.60.3
53.754.1
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
42.00.9
41.442.3
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
blue by 1.3
573
#6
43.30.3
42.442.7
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7