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Red204
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue241
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170270050100150200250300350400204241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+47
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +43
24Coral scored#27
85Coral points98
3Processor algae#6
7Net algae#10
18Processor points36
28Net points40
46Algae points76
131Total teleop174
Reef
9L4#16
14L3#8
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
204Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.42.8
75.277.9
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
red by 0.6
84.70.1
81.281.2
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
Second
60.52.8
50.353.1
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
blue by 24.2
84.70.1
81.281.1
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
Third
47.22.8
37.039.8
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
blue by 36.3
33
#1
83.50.1
80.079.9
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsMissed