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Red165
296054.6
57343.3
661563.5
Blue181
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17621050100150250300350165181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +21
16Coral scored#17
59Coral points62
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
18Processor points24
20Net points32
38Algae points56
97Total teleop118
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
12Foul points0
165Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.2
61.561.4
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 13.2
76.70.1
74.674.7
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
54.60.2
52.752.5
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 15.3
69.90.1
67.868.0
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
573
#6
43.30.2
41.441.2
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
red by 4.4
503
#5
38.90.1
36.836.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsMissed