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Red251
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue267
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216259100150200300350251267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +16
35Coral scored#32
126Coral points114
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#9
18Processor points30
20Net points36
38Algae points66
164Total teleop180
Reef
16L4#13
15L3#14
8L2#11
6L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
251Total score267

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.53.1
84.988.0
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 0.2
90.32.1
85.687.7
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
Second
88.13.1
82.585.7
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 5.0
83.22.1
78.580.5
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
Third
42.03.1
36.439.5
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
blue by 34.8
76.82.1
72.174.1
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
99%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsMissed