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Red125
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue151
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19020250100150250300125151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points27
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#20
41Coral points71
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
24Processor points18
12Net points12
36Algae points30
77Total teleop101
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
125Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.43.1
77.974.9
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
red by 8.7
76.72.3
74.772.4
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
60.53.1
53.150.0
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
blue by 9.4
69.92.3
68.065.7
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
47.23.1
39.836.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 8.4
503
#5
38.92.3
36.934.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed