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Red270
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue264
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256257220230240250270280290300270264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
10Coral scored#12
52Coral points58
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +6
35Coral scored#28
126Coral points102
5Processor algae#6
5Net algae#8
30Processor points36
20Net points32
50Algae points68
176Total teleop170
Reef
17L4#16
12L3#11
6L2#5
10L1 · trough#8
55Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
270Total score264

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.71.7
81.282.8
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
blue by 5.6
90.31.3
87.788.9
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
Second
84.71.7
81.182.7
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
red by 1.5
83.21.3
80.581.8
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
Third
33
#1
83.51.7
79.981.6
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 6.7
76.81.3
74.175.4
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
76%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsMissed