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Red259
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
Blue248
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278233150200250300350259248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
34Coral scored#41
124Coral points146
5Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
30Processor points18
32Net points24
62Algae points42
186Total teleop188
Reef
14L4#18
14L3#13
9L2#11
4L1 · trough#8
54Game pieces#59
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
259Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.31.0
93.192.1
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
blue by 0.2
90.50.7
91.892.5
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
83.21.0
85.985.0
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
blue by 5.0
88.10.7
89.490.1
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
76.81.0
79.578.6
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
red by 34.8
42.00.7
43.344.0
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed