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Red247
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue202
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25817550100150200300350247202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
11Coral scored#5
55Coral points27
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +18
28Coral scored#29
99Coral points105
6Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
36Processor points24
28Net points16
64Algae points40
163Total teleop145
Reef
14L4#12
9L3#12
11L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
52Game pieces#42
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
247Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.7
95.796.4
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 5.1
85.42.1
77.779.8
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
Second
88.10.7
93.394.0
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 27.6
60.52.1
52.854.9
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
Third
42.00.7
47.247.9
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
blue by 5.2
47.22.1
39.541.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed