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Red160
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
Blue275
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15528750100200250350160275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+95
Endgame+115
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave6
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points45
27Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +71
24Coral scored#32
87Coral points116
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#12
18Processor points24
12Net points48
30Algae points72
117Total teleop188
Reef
10L4#22
8L3#7
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#7
35Game pieces#57
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points0
160Total score275

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.2
59.559.3
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
blue by 21.3
84.71.0
82.683.5
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
Second
54.60.2
50.750.4
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
blue by 30.0
84.71.0
82.583.4
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
Third
573
#6
43.30.2
39.339.1
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
blue by 40.2
33
#1
83.51.0
81.382.3
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed