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Red250
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue199
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25417550100150200300350250199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+57Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
12Coral scored#6
58Coral points28
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +26
37Coral scored#27
132Coral points98
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
156Total teleop130
Reef
18L4#10
9L3#8
10L2#7
12L1 · trough#8
54Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points6
250Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.50.9
94.895.7
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 13.9
76.71.3
71.873.1
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
88.10.9
92.493.3
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 18.2
69.91.3
65.066.4
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
42.00.9
46.347.2
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
red by 3.1
503
#5
38.91.3
34.035.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed